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Analysis of the accuracy of USDA crop forecasts

Analysis of the accuracy of USDA crop forecasts

American Journal of Agricultural Economics 54(4 (Part I)): 639-645

ISSN/ISBN: 0002-9092

Accuracy of USDA crop forecasts increased moderately over the 1929-1970 period. However, USDA's first forecasts of crop production tended to underestimate crop size and the size of year-to-year changes in production.

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Accession: 000020611

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