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Exchange rate uncertainty and the demand for U.S. soybeans

Exchange rate uncertainty and the demand for U.S. soybeans

American journal of agricultural economics 71(3): 721-729

This study examines the effects of exchange rate uncertainty on bilateral soybean trade flows and finds that imports for Japan, France and Spain are sensitive to short-term variations in nominal bilateral exchange rates. This research extends previous work by focusing on bilateral trade for a single commodity, using a longer sample period, and testing over a variety of model specifications. The results suggest that the effects vary across countries depending on access to forward markets, the availability of alternative soybean suppliers, the degree of market concentration in the domestic soybean processing sector, and the degree of currency risk importers are willing to assume.

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Accession: 001831083

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DOI: 10.2307/1242028

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