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Estimation of disastrous floods risk via physically based models of river runoff generation

, : Estimation of disastrous floods risk via physically based models of river runoff generation. Extreme hydrological events: precipitation, floods and droughts: proceedings of the International Symposium held at Yokohama, Japan, 20-23 July 1993: 177-182

The traditional methods for the risk estimation of disastrous floods are based on frequency analysis of measured discharges or the use of estimation of the probable maximum precipitation and simple conceptual runoff models. These are unable to predict the effects of unusual combinations of runoff factors, the changes in runoff generation mechanisms and the influence of human activity.

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