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Epidemiological monitoring of food-borne diseases: demonstration of the analytical and predictive capacity of the Box-Jenkins models


Avances en Ciencias Veterinarias 12(1): 9-16
Epidemiological monitoring of food-borne diseases: demonstration of the analytical and predictive capacity of the Box-Jenkins models
Data for the numbers of notified cases of typhoid-paratyphoid fever and viral hepatitis during the period 1977-1989 were used to formulate Box-Jenkins models for the diseases in Chile. The models were used to predict the values for 1990 and compare them with the observed values. The model for typhoid-paratyphoid correctly predicted a decrease in number of cases and a seasonal effect with most cases occurring in the summer months.


Accession: 003127388



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