The transmission dynamics of the aetiological agent of scrapie in a sheep flock
Hagenaars, T.J.; Donnelly, C.A.; Ferguson, N.M.; Anderson, R.M.
Mathematical Biosciences 168(2): 117-135
2000
ISSN/ISBN: 0025-5564 PMID: 11121561 DOI: 10.1016/s0025-5564(00)00048-1
Accession: 003596367
We formulate and investigate the properties of a model framework to mimic the transmission dynamics of the aetiological agent of scrapie in a sheep flock. We derive expressions for summary parameters that characterize transmission scenarios, notably the basic reproduction number R0 and the mean generation time Tg. The timescale of epidemic outbreaks is expressed in terms of R0 and cumulants of the generation time distribution. We discuss the relative contributions to the overall rate of transmission of horizontal and vertical routes during invasion and in endemicity.