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Epidemiological studies on the theoretical prediction of food poisoning outbreaks based on weather and sea water data


Bulletin of Azabu University Veterinary Medicine 1(1): 89-104
Epidemiological studies on the theoretical prediction of food poisoning outbreaks based on weather and sea water data
An improved model is presented for predicting outbreaks of bacterial food poisoning. The model incorporates 8 weather variables, 4 seawater parameters and 2 epidemiological variables (number of outbreaks/day and patients/outbreak). In predicting outbreaks with this model, it is sufficient to input the average of the values for the 3 days before the prediction date for all variables, using data from the year before the prediction date. Using combined data from the previous 2-3 yr may improve the predictability.

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Accession: 005375522



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