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Statistical estimation of seismic hazard parameters; maximum possible magnitude and related parameters



Statistical estimation of seismic hazard parameters; maximum possible magnitude and related parameters



Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 86(3): 691-700



The problem of statistical estimation of earthquake hazard parameters is considered. The emphasis is on estimation of the maximum regional magnitude, M (sub max) , and the maximum magnitude, M (sub max) (T), in a future time interval T and quantiles of its distribution. Two estimators are suggested: an unbiased estimator with the lowest possible variance and a Bayesian estimator. As an illustration, these methods are applied for the estimation of M (sub max) and related parameters in California and Italy.

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Accession: 020091521

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