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Uncertainty in intensity assignment and attenuation relationships How seismic hazard maps can benefit from the implementation of the Environmental Seismic Intensity scale ESI 27



Uncertainty in intensity assignment and attenuation relationships How seismic hazard maps can benefit from the implementation of the Environmental Seismic Intensity scale ESI 27







Fault slip-rates are of decisive importance for seismic hazard assessment. However, sensitivity analysis in geological fault slip-rate seismic hazard maps demonstrates that the uncertainty in the attenuation relationships is much higher than the implied uncertainty in slip-rates, so that even if more accurate slip-rate estimation is achieved, it would have little impact on the final outcomes. This paper quantifies these outcomes using as a test site the area of the Southern Apennines and shows that this uncertainty that is inherent within the traditional intensity scales cannot be reduced. In the area of the southern Apennines, the uncertainty extracted from the.

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Accession: 036072532

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DOI: 10.1016/j.quaint.2011.03.058


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