+ Site Statistics
+ Search Articles
+ Subscribe to Site Feeds
EurekaMag Most Shared ContentMost Shared
EurekaMag PDF Full Text ContentPDF Full Text
+ PDF Full Text
Request PDF Full TextRequest PDF Full Text
+ Follow Us
Follow on FacebookFollow on Facebook
Follow on TwitterFollow on Twitter
Follow on Google+Follow on Google+
Follow on LinkedInFollow on LinkedIn

+ Translate

Intensification of seasonal extremes given a 2°C global warming target

Intensification of seasonal extremes given a 2°C global warming target

Climatic Change 112(2): 325-337

Current international efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and limit human-induced global-mean near-surface temperature increases to 2 C, relative to the pre-industrial era, are intended to avoid possibly significant and dangerous impacts to physical, biological, and socio-economic systems. However, it is unknown how these various systems will respond to such a temperature increase because their relevant spatial scales are much different than those represented by numerical global climate models the standard tool for climate change studies. This deficiency can be addressed by using higher-resolution regional climate models, but at great computational expense. The research presented here seeks to determine how a 2 C global-mean temperature increase might change the frequency of seasonal temperature extremes, both in the United States and around the globe, without necessarily resorting to these computationally-intensive model experiments. indicate that in many locations the regional temperature increases that accompany a 2 C increase in global mean temperatures are significantly larger than the interannual-to-decadal variations in seasonal-mean temperatures; in these locations a 2 C global mean temperature increase results in seasonal-mean temperatures that consistently exceed the most extreme values experienced during the second half of the 2th Century. Further, results indicate that many tropical regions, despite having relatively modest overall temperature increases, will have the most substantial increase in number of hot extremes. These results highlight that extremes very well could become the norm, even given the 2 C temperature increase target.

(PDF same-day service: $19.90)

Accession: 036201154

Download citation: RISBibTeXText

DOI: 10.1007/s10584-011-0213-7

Related references

Near-term increase in frequency of seasonal temperature extremes prior to the 2°C global warming target. Climatic Change 108(3): 581-589, 2011

Intensification of extratropical cyclones associated with the polar jet change in the CMIP5 global warming projections. Geophysical Research Letters 39(19), 2012

The Global Warming Is Real: An analysis of the effect of urban growth on U.S. climate records shows that a century of global warming is real; the magnitude of future warming remains uncertain. Science 243(4891): 603-603, 1989

Assessing Global Water Storage Variability from GRACE: Trends, Seasonal Cycle, Subseasonal Anomalies and Extremes. Surveys in Geophysics 37(): 357-395, 2016

Forests and global warming mitigation in Brazil: opportunities in the Brazilian forest sector for responses to global warming under the clean development mechanism. Biomass & Bioenergy 16(3): 171-189, 1999

Global warming and the Sun; is the reported global warming of the 20th century really due primarily to increased concentrations of carbon dioxide (CO (sub 2) ) in the Earth's atmosphere from human activity? Apparently not!. Program with Abstracts - Geological Association of Canada(Mineralogical Association of Canada: Joint Annual Meeting 25: (unpaginated, 2000

Global warming and environment issue from the view point of snow; impact of global warming on the hazard of sediment-related disasters in the snowy region of Japan. Journal of Snow Engineering of Japan 24.4, 2008

I'll Save the World from Global Warming-Tomorrow: Using Procrastination Management to Combat Global Warming. Behavior Analyst 33(2): 179-180, 2010

Global warming 2007. An update to global warming: the balance of evidence and its policy implications. Thescientificworldjournal 7: 381-399, 2007

Global warming target to stay below 2 degrees requires more action this decade. 2011

Global warming and seasonal reproduction perception and transduction of environmental information. Advances in Invertebrate Reproduction, 5: 265-270, 1990

Catalytic Reaction Mechanism for Drug Metabolism in Human Carboxylesterase-1: Cocaine Hydrolysis Pathway. Molecular Pharmaceutics, 2018

Vector-borne diseases and global warming: are both on an upward swing? Scientists are still debating whether global warming will lead to a further spread of mosquitoes and the diseases they transmit. Embo Reports 2(9): 755-757, 2001

Why Popper can't resolve the debate over global warming: Problems with the uses of philosophy of science in the media and public framing of the science of global warming. Public Understanding of Science (): -, 2016