+ Site Statistics
+ Search Articles
+ PDF Full Text Service
How our service works
Request PDF Full Text
+ Follow Us
Follow on Facebook
Follow on Twitter
Follow on LinkedIn
+ Subscribe to Site Feeds
Most Shared
PDF Full Text
+ Translate
+ Recently Requested

Agroclimatic conditions in China under climate change scenarios projected from regional climate models



Agroclimatic conditions in China under climate change scenarios projected from regional climate models



International Journal of Climatology 34(9): 2988-3000



The recent warming trends have led to rising concerns on how the changing climate has been altering and will continue to alter agroclimatic conditions in China. In this study, high resolution climate scenarios from regional climate models (RCMs) are used as input to the agro-ecological zones (AEZ) model for China and to compute a comprehensive set of agroclimatic indicators. Uncertainties in the projected impacts of climate change on agroclimatic conditions are also discussed with respect to (1) RCM outputs for different emission scenarios, and (2) differences in projections obtained from two different RCMs under the same emission scenario. The results indicate a significant extension of the crop growing period in tandem with the rising temperatures during the crop growing season, which may lead to increase in multi-cropping opportunities at high latitudes and thus advance the total potential output per unit of cropland. However, the results show that the Southwest China will experience a significant reduction in the value of humidity index, implying severe challenges for future agricultural development in the region. Spatially explicit patterns of changes in future agroclimatic conditions, as revealed in this study, can be beneficial for policy-makers, farming communities and other stakeholders to assess risk factors, design adaptation and mitigation measures, and improve management practices at the local to regional scales.

Please choose payment method:






(PDF emailed within 0-6 h: $19.90)

Accession: 066286695

Download citation: RISBibTeXText

DOI: 10.1002/joc.3892


Related references

Uncertainties in projected impacts of climate change on European agriculture and terrestrial ecosystems based on scenarios from regional climate models. Climatic change 81(1): 123-143, 2007

Climate change scenarios of precipitation extremes in Central Europe from ENSEMBLES regional climate models. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 104(3-4): 529-542, 2011

Climate-change effects on extreme precipitation in central Europe: uncertainties of scenarios based on regional climate models. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 95(3-4): 361-374, 2009

Modeling sustainable adaptation strategies toward a climate-smart agriculture in a Mediterranean watershed under projected climate change scenarios. Agricultural Systems 162: 154-163, 2018

Climate change and North Sea storm surge extremes: an ensemble study of storm surge extremes expected in a changed climate projected by four different regional climate models. Ocean Dynamics 56(1): 3-15, 2006

Development of regional future climate change scenarios in South America using the Eta CPTEC/HadCM3 climate change projections climatology and regional analyses for the Amazon, Sao Francisco and the Parana River basins. 2011

Changes in rainfall regime over Burkina Faso under the climate change conditions simulated by 5 regional climate models. Climate Dynamics 42(5-6): 1363-1381, 2014

Interdecadal variability of regional climate change: implications for the development of regional climate change scenarios. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics 89(1/4): 1-15, 2005

Regional climate change experiments over southern South America. II: Climate change scenarios in the late twenty-first century. Climate Dynamics 32(7-8): 1081-1095, 2009

Projected climate change over Southeast Asia simulated using a WRF regional climate model. Atmospheric Science Letters 12(2): 213-219, 2011

Mid-21st century climate and weather extremes in Cyprus as projected by six regional climate models. Regional Environmental Change 11(3): 441-457, 2011

Projected change in mean and extreme climate over Korea from a double-nested regional climate model simulation. 2007

The new national climate change documents of Mexico what do the regional climate change scenarios represent?. Climatic Change 110(3-4): 1029-1046, 2012

Projected Climate Change in the Hindu KushHimalayan Region By Using the High-resolution Regional Climate Model Precis. Mountain Research and Development 33(2): 142-151, 2013

Comparison of two soya bean simulation models under climate change. II. Application of climate change scenarios. Climate Research 20(1): 71-81, 2002